Meteorologists carefully study weather patterns to make the most accurate snow forecasts possible for Toronto. Looking ahead to 2023 and 2024, current long-range predictions estimate that Toronto will see near-average snowfall amounts. While it’s too early to pinpoint exact totals, Toronto typically gets around 128 cm of snow each winter. Early predictions suggest that 2023 and 2024 will stay within won’t those norms.
Winter in Toronto often brings plenty of snow, leaving residents wondering just how much snow will fall each year.
Long-range weather forecasts for Toronto predict near-average Snowfall in both 2023 and 2024. Average annual snow totals are around 128 cm. Early predictions for the next two winters do not show any significant departures from typical snow amounts. However, meteorologists caution that there is still uncertainty this far out, as winter weather can be highly variable from year to year.
Toronto Overall Snow Forecast
- Total Snowfall: Above-average Snowfall anticipated. Most predictions estimate between 130-160 cm (50-65 inches) of total snow accumulation.
- Timeframe: Snow season typically runs from November through April in Toronto. The core snowiest months are usually December, January and February.
- Mid-Winter (January-February 2024): The heaviest Snowfall is likely during these core winter months. Frequent snow systems and below-freezing temperatures will allow snow to accumulate. Total snow of 50-75 cm (20-30 inches) is expected.
- Late Winter (March-April 2024): Snow showers are still possible, but we are transitioning to more rain/mix events as milder air returns. Total snow is around 25-35 cm (10-14 inches).
- Notable Events: A potentially significant winter storm may impact Toronto from late December into early January per long-range forecasts. This could dump significant snow, depending on the track.
- Variables: Snowfall is highly dependent on winter storm tracks and the availability of cold air. Changes in patterns could mean wide swings in actual totals.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac:
- For the Great Lakes region overall, The Old Farmer’s Almanac is predicting this will be a “glacial, snow-filled” winter. This suggests Toronto may see above-average Snowfall.
- The forecast calls for relatively mild temperatures in November and December but says January and February will bring intense cold and significant Snowfall, especially near the Great Lakes. This aligns with Toronto often seeing its most considerable snow totals in January/February.
- The Almanac highlights the potential for a significant winter storm tracking up the eastern seaboard in late December to early January. If this storm track materializes, it could bring a substantial snowfall to Toronto.
- The Almanac’s forecast emphasizes there may be wide swings in winter weather this year, with mild periods followed by frigid arctic outbreaks. This variability could make Snowfall unpredictable.
AccuWeather:
- For winter 2023-2024, AccuWeather is predicting colder than average temperatures and an increased chance of above-average Snowfall for a large region encompassing the Great Lakes and Northeastern North America. This broad outlook suggests Toronto could see more snow than usual.
- AccuWeather’s early predictions call for a slow start to winter in November and December 2023, with milder temperatures initially. But forecasters expect an active January and February 2024 with chances for heavy snow events. This aligns with Toronto often seeing its most significant snows in midwinter.
- AccuWeather meteorologists cite influences like La Niña and weak solar activity as factors that will lead to volatile winter weather, including impactful snowstorms during the core months of winter. This points to the potential for significant snow in Toronto when patterns align.
- However, AccuWeather notes that predicting Snowfall for a specific city so far in advance involves considerable uncertainty. The winter storm track will play a huge role in determining Toronto’s seasonal snow accumulations.
The Weather Network:
- Total Snowfall: The Weather Network is predicting above-normal Snowfall for Toronto this winter. Their forecast calls for total snow accumulation ranging from 140 cm to 160 cm (55-63 inches).
- Snowiest Periods: The Weather Network expects the snowiest periods to be in January and February 2024. These core winter months are likely to see frequent snow events as cold air settles in over the Great Lakes region.
- Notable Events: The forecast highlights the potential for a significant snowstorm in late December into early January that could bring over 25 cm (10 inches) of snow, depending on the track. Mid-February may also bring impactful snow.
- Temperatures: Colder-than-average temperatures are expected, especially in January and February. Periods of bitter cold are likely as arctic air drains southward at times.
- Variables: The Weather Network notes there is uncertainty tied to winter storm tracks, which will determine actual Snowfall. A shift in the polar vortex could modify the forecast.
- La Niña: The ongoing La Niña is likely to influence winter weather patterns over North America, tending to favor colder and snowier conditions in Toronto.
The Farmers’ Almanac:
- Total Snowfall: The Farmer’s Almanac is predicting an unusually snowy winter for Toronto, with total snow accumulations of 140% to 160% above the region’s historical averages. This suggests total Snowfall could reach 130-150 cm (50-60 inches).
- Timeframe: The core winter months of January and February 2024 are expected to be the snowiest periods, according to The Farmer’s Almanac outlook. This is when the most frequent and impactful snow events are predicted.
- Notable Events: The forecast highlights a potentially significant winter storm bringing heavy snow in late December into early January as a low-pressure system tracks up the Eastern Seaboard.
- Snowiest Areas: Areas near the west and north of Toronto may see the most Snowfall due to added lake effect snow off Lake Ontario. Downtown Toronto and near the lakeshore should get less.
- Temperatures: Bitterly cold Arctic air is predicted to plunge southward at times during midwinter, leading to prime conditions for snow. Periods of milder weather are expected as well.
- Influencing Factors: La Niña conditions in the Pacific and weak solar activity are cited by The Farmer’s Almanac as drivers favoring a snowy winter pattern for the Great Lakes and Toronto.
Will Toronto get snow this year 2023, 2024
According to the Toronto Weather Network, there is a chance of snow in Toronto during the 2023-2024 winter season. The likelihood of Snowfall is calculated by the SnowChance algorithm, which predicts the probability of a winter storm entering a region on a specific day.
As per a forecast by BlogTO, Toronto is expected to experience light dustings of snow on December 30 and 31, culminating in a projected 5 to 10 cm of Snowfall in January.
When is snow expected in Toronto in 2024
Month | Average Temperature (°C) | Average Precipitation (mm) | Average Snowfall (cm) |
January 2024 | -5 | 50 | 25 |
February 2024 | -3 | 45 | 20 |
- November is typically Toronto’s transition month from fall to winter weather. Temperatures are marginal for snow, with some light accumulations by late November.
- December and January are usually Toronto’s snowiest and coldest months, with frequent snowfalls. Major snowstorms over 15cm are expected.
- February is still cold with additional Snowfall, but snow tapers off by late month.
- March brings warmer weather again, with light snow showers early in the month.
- April snow is rare, with any flakes melting quickly.
60-Day Extended Weather Forecast for Toronto
January 2024:
- Average high: -2°C
- Average low: -9°C
- Snowiest month, average Snowfall of 25 cm
- Potential for extreme cold
February 2024:
- Average high: -1°C
- Average low: -7°C
- Snow tapers off on average 20 cm
- Some milder periods are possible
March 2024:
- Average high: 4°C
- Average low: -2°C
- Transition to spring, a mix of rain and snow
- Light snow showers early in the month
April 2024:
- Average high: 11°C
- Average low: 3°C
- Any snow is very unusual
- More rain likely
May 2024:
- Average high: 19°C
- Average low: 8°C
- Spring weather prevails
- Rain showers and thunderstorms
June-August 2024:
- Peak summer weather
- Warm and humid
- A mix of sun and thunderstorms
September 2024:
- Average high: 22°C
- Average low: 12°C
- Transition to fall
- Warm start, more relaxed finish
October 2024:
- Average high: 13°C
- Average low: 5°C
- Cooler temperatures
- Rain showers possible
November 2024:
- Average high: 8°C
- Average low: 1°C
- A mix of rain and snow showers
FAQ’s
How many months does Toronto get snow?
Yes, Toronto is snowy in January. The average Snowfall in January is 36.2 cm.
Which is the coldest month in Toronto?
January is the coldest month in Toronto, with an average temperature of -5.4°C.
What will the weather be like in Toronto in the winter of 2024?
According to the official winter forecast by The Weather Network, Toronto will have a mild start to winter 2024, but the season will be turbulent with weather fluctuations.
Does Toronto get a lot of snow?
Toronto gets a moderate amount of snow. The average Snowfall in Toronto is around 122 cm per year.
Is Toronto snowy in January?
Toronto gets snow for about four months of the year, typically from December through March.
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